2010 Election Predictions – The GOP Tsunami: 79 House Seats, 10 Senate Seats and 12 Governors

The GOP election Tsunami means help will soon be on the way for a struggling economy. President Obama will be able to veto legislation, but the days of the Democratic super majority, stimulus spending, and the Capitol Hill favor factory are over. The new GOP lawmakers will demand deficit reduction, an end to many burdensome regulations and continuation of all the Bush tax cuts.


My predictions for the 2010 election are based on the most current survey research data and the “incumbent rule.” This is determined on the Friday before a Tuesday election. It says incumbents who are running under 50% and do not have a 6% lead will lose. With this in mind, I have awarded many seats to the GOP where the Democratic incumbent still has the lead. Undecided voters tend to break for the challenger. Because of the so-called enthusiasm gap, I am also predicting a GOP turnout 8% higher then the Democrats. Continue reading

Advertisements

BOOK REVIEW: "40 More Years: How Democrats Will Rule the Next Generation" by James Carville, Simon & Schuster, 209 pages

40 More Years: How Democrats Will Rule the Next Generation was published on May 4, 2009, and the author was the architect of Bill Clinton’s 1992 victory. James Carville never imagined that six months after publication Democrats would lose governorships in New Jersey and Virginia, and were on the way to turning over Ted Kennedy’s seat in the U.S. Senate. Continue reading

Obama Warns The Chamber of Commerce by Gregory Hilton

President Obama and the Democratic National Committee have no proof, but today they are accusing the U.S. Chamber of Commerce of “stealing our democracy.” The Chamber receives funds from businesses overseas which are used to fund groups in foreign countries. The President believes those foreign funds are really be used to impact American political campaigns. Continue reading

Will Senator Joe Lieberman (CT) Join The GOP Caucus? by Gregory Hilton

The new University of Delaware Poll has New Castle County Executive Chris Coons (D) at 61% and Christine O’Donnell (R) at 37% in the U.S. Senate race. O’Donnell received national attention when she upset Rep. Mike Castle (R-DE) in the GOP primary for the nomination to fill Joe Biden’s old Senate seat. Republican had a bad week in Connecticut and Colorado, but West Virginia and Wisconsin have been pleasant surprises for them. This would result in a 50/50 Senate. Continue reading

Remembering 2006: When Anti-War Conservatives Endorsed The Election of Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats

The bible of the isolationist and protectionist paleoconservative movement is "The American Conservative" magazine. They frequently champion Ron Paul and the libertarian cause.


For the next month libertarians and paleoconservatives will be fairly quiet. Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), the 1988 Libertarian presidential candidate, is keeping a low profile. He does not want to jeopardize the election of his son Rand (R-KY) to the U.S. Senate. The son is also avoiding the national news media and says he is no longer a libertarian. He publicly disagrees with his father on Israel, Afghanistan and defense spending. Continue reading

Ann Coulter is Wrong: The GOP Welcomes The Tea Party and The Campaign is About Economic Not Social Issues

In her article yesterday (see below), conservative pundit Ann Coulter continues to claim Republicans and “Washington elites” are undermining the Tea Party movement. To bolster her case of alarm she quotes Morton Kondracke, David Gergen, and Gloria Borger, but not one of them is a Republican. Continue reading